Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 349.713382 397.210656 450.240548 514.102931 589.275206 675.375135 782.064529
2025-07-27 279.610779 341.525829 417.104369 517.225881 647.993027 815.257243 1049.114724
2025-08-03 234.386222 299.729581 384.180982 503.300833 670.233964 900.888280 1252.854128
2025-08-10 204.044061 270.414658 360.131428 493.204626 690.758018 981.953230 1461.089910
2025-08-17 188.644791 258.204154 356.156169 508.373826 746.980201 1121.293329 1784.833171
2025-08-24 171.836836 241.495427 342.952897 506.889827 776.041996 1221.713618 2065.805924
2025-08-31 156.375905 224.779923 327.339858 498.777978 791.978878 1301.580791 2327.112936
2025-09-07 145.716186 214.005273 319.275360 501.125691 824.856784 1415.384364 2679.467180
2025-09-14 133.874862 200.163086 304.751453 490.519119 832.770894 1483.849195 2955.895759
2025-09-21 125.282170 190.622784 296.098670 488.685305 855.932788 1585.042377 3329.654217
2025-09-28 114.305918 176.264758 278.051771 467.917030 839.857430 1603.673332 3516.686398
2025-10-05 111.097363 174.434491 280.986278 485.623014 901.670882 1797.395929 4191.374522
2025-10-12 108.375507 173.327567 285.295771 506.947136 975.526253 2036.524779 5080.691535
2025-10-19 103.037514 167.276159 280.241625 509.514495 1010.224994 2193.362687 5802.593186
2025-10-26 96.009222 157.689245 267.852430 495.861662 1006.818537 2256.207068 6263.480203
2025-11-02 90.141637 149.747257 257.841430 485.944624 1010.421571 2337.883545 6820.061066
2025-11-09 87.848448 148.106617 259.573639 500.842917 1074.785217 2596.193495 8107.178023
2025-11-16 83.815268 142.945627 254.042214 499.385498 1099.084754 2749.372257 9084.590006
2025-11-23 79.395204 136.754445 245.978000 491.418666 1105.762795 2853.184285 9921.149694
2025-11-30 76.407678 133.079282 242.635083 493.724459 1139.477508 3047.764890 11256.112406
2025-12-07 72.364553 127.110856 234.174929 483.306946 1137.644832 3130.119564 12132.182903
2025-12-14 69.447427 123.157407 229.574488 481.505733 1159.302872 3295.912113 13523.188711
2025-12-21 65.012247 115.958981 217.701728 461.104866 1125.667032 3265.813586 13887.808806